2022 年中国禽肉市场回顾及产业发展建议.
In: Agricultural Outlook (1673-3908), Jg. 19 (2023-02-01), Heft 2, S. 27-32
academicJournal
Zugriff:
In 2022, despite the adverse effects of the new COVID-19 pandemic, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the outbreak of avian influenza, China's poultry production capacity continued to run at a high level, with a slight increase in production. From the perspective of the whole year, consumption increased slightly; in terms of trade, the volume of imports decreased, the value of imports increased, both the volume and the value of exports increased; the feed price hit a new high, the breeding cost rose, and the price of broilers rose significantly with a historical high level under the demand pulling effect. The industry is facing many uncertain challenges such as high-cost pressure, avian influenza epidemic impact and supply chain. It was expected that the supply and demand of the domestic broiler market will increase in 2023, but the range is limited, and the price will remain high. Based on this, the industry needs to scientifically implement feed alternatives, reduce breeding costs, improve breeding efficiency, and increase breeding benefit; scientifically respond to the post-epidemic era, release consumption potential through multiple channels, and boost poultry meat consumption demand; vigorously promote the commercialization and industrialization of state-owned broiler breeds, and increase market share; strengthen market monitoring and early warning, and reasonably guide industrial development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
2022年,在极端天气导致巴西大豆大幅减产、俄乌冲突影响全球供应链安全性、印度尼西亚食用油出 口禁令等多重因素影响下,国际油料油脂价格大幅上涨。受国际市场连带影响,国内油料油脂进口量减价高。同时, 国内油料大幅减产,加工企业库存持续偏低,国内食用油供给收紧,价格持续上涨。2023年巴西大豆产量预计将创 纪录,棕榈油库存处于历史同期高位,印度尼西亚保持增产潜力,全球油料油脂供需关系将有所改善,国内食用油 价格有望回落。但全球供应链存在不稳定性,叠加主要农资化肥价格上涨,国际油料油脂价格波动风险仍较大。由 于中国油料油脂进口依存度高、来源集中、受国际影响较大,且国内食用油消费需求有望回暖,油料扩种存在一定 难度,预计价格回落空间有限。基于此,建议进一步完善油料油脂市场监测预警机制,加强对油料油脂市场的监管 力度,提高国产油料自给率。 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Titel: |
2022 年中国禽肉市场回顾及产业发展建议.
|
---|---|
Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | 张珺慧 ; 张莉 |
Zeitschrift: | Agricultural Outlook (1673-3908), Jg. 19 (2023-02-01), Heft 2, S. 27-32 |
Veröffentlichung: | 2023 |
Medientyp: | academicJournal |
ISSN: | 1673-3908 (print) |
Schlagwort: |
|
Sonstiges: |
|